
Will philosophers accept or lean towards consequentialism once a consensus on normative ethics is reached?
71
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49%
chance
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Resolves if PhilPapers or a similarly reputable survey of philosophers reports consistent results that 90% or more (which I will use as consensus) of philosophers surveyed accept or lean towards consequentialism as the preferred theory of normative ethics.
The market close date will be continuously extended if consensus is not reached.
Companion markets:
2020 survey data from the PhilPapers survey for reference:

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