LessOnline is a weekend conference in Berkeley, California for the extended rationalist+ blogosphere, where writers and readers from the internet can come and talk in person.
It's being run by Lightcone Infrastructure, the team that makes LessWrong.com.
This resolves to the PnL that Lightcone reports having made on this event on July 1st (1 month after the event is scheduled to take place).
If the event gets cancelled, it still resolves to the PnL of the event (as reported by Lightcone), which might not be 0.
PnL includes everything associated with the event except employee time (so, would include profits from donations, or losses incurred from lawsuits, or costs of additional external contractors hired for the event).
Two answers will be chosen iff they both apply (e.g. if the event makes exactly $10k in revenue, both "$1k to $10k" and "$10k to $50k" would resolve true).
(I don't have any reason to think this market could plausibly resolve "other")
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@jacksonpolack Okay, I've done this (and modified the resolution criteria to avoid triggering the corner case of multiple answers resolving true), link here. Sorry about that! https://manifold.markets/RickiHeicklen/what-will-lightcones-pnl-be-from-ru