Will Conjecture Earn >$2M revenue?
19
2.4kṀ3088Nov 30
32%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the company currently known as Conjecture report that it has sold AI-powered products or services with total revenue greater than US$2M by 31 Dec 2025?
(Resolution will be based on formal and informal reporting by the company and its founders, and the deadline applies to when the information has become public, rather than when revenue is generated. If Conjecture disbands or reports nothing about revenue, then the question will resolve to negative.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will @BasedBeffJezos be worth > $3 million by EOY 2025?
36% chance
Will Meta, Alphabet, Amazon or Microsoft invest in Conjecture before 2026?
5% chance
Will OpenAI have revenues of at least $5 billion (ARR) by the end of year 2025?
99% chance
By 2028, will I think Conjecture has been net-good for the world?
75% chance
Will Extropic AI ever have more than 100m revenue in a year through mid 2029?
18% chance
OpenAI annualized revenue run rate at end of 2026?
Will Conjecture's CoEm paradigm generate more than $1 Million USD in revenue before 2026?
34% chance
Anthropic annualized revenue run rate at end of 2026?
Will Conjecture have dissolved by 2028?
77% chance
By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?
45% chance