Will we get fusion drives before 2046?
Will we get fusion drives before 2046?
5
100Ṁ213
2046
45%
chance

Resolves as YES if a fusion drive (also known as a fusion rocket) has operated continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st, 2046, demonstrating practical and reliable functionality in space.

A fusion drive, for the purposes of this market, is defined as a propulsion system using nuclear fusion as its primary power source, capable of generating thrust in space applications. The drive must be used on a spacecraft with a minimum total mass (including the drive itself) of 10,000 kg. Additionally, the fusion drive must deliver a minimum average thrust of 1,000 newtons over the 24-hour period. The fusion reactor on the drive must operate at an energy gain factor (Q_E) of at least 1.

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For further context on fusion drives, refer to: Fusion Rocket - Wikipedia

Space
Rockets
Fusion Energy
Propulsion
Fusion Drives
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