When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
Plus
21
Ṁ20362030
1.6%
Before 2025
5%
Before 2026
25%
Before 2027
41%
Before 2028
70%
Before 2029
87%
Before 2030
The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface). It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Similar question about launch and landing:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or
My other questions about Starship milestones:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-4th-starship-launch-h
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-5-happen
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-starship-reach-orb
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-wit
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
When will Starship flight 6 happen?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
When will Starship complete an orbit?
Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
When will Starship flight 7 happen?
When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
When will Starship first deploy a commercial satellite to orbit?
When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?