When will Starship complete a full crewed mission from earth?
4
1kṀ8662050
May 10, 2033
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
14%
2025-2027
29%
2028-2030
33%
2031-2035
13%
2036-2040
11%
2041-2050
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the date on which SpaceX's Starship completes its first full crewed mission from Earth. A full crewed mission is defined as:
Launch: Starship must launch from Earth with a human crew aboard.
Orbit: The mission must complete at least one full orbit.
Reentry and Landing: The spacecraft must successfully reenter Earth's atmosphere and land safely.
Missions that do not meet all these criteria will not be considered for resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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