When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
37
2kṀ11k
2026
1.7%
By end of August 2025
14%
By end of October 2025
23%
By end of December 2025
45%
By end of March 2026
61%
By end of June 2026
67%
By end of August 2026
75%
By end of December 2026
Resolved
NO
By end of December 2024
Resolved
NO
By end of June 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of March 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of February 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of April 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of May 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of September 2024
Resolved
NO
By end of June 2024

Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit

Otherwise, answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached

Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch

Any type of Starlink satellite counts as long as Starlink is in the name (eg Starshield would not count despite being a close derivative)

UTC is used

Related markets:

/Nat/when-will-starship-first-deploy-a-c

/TimDuffy/will-spacex-deploy-any-starlink-sat

/chrisjbillington/will-starshipsuper-heavy-deliver-a

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