When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
34
1.4kṀ70302026
1%
By end of April 2025
17%
By end of May 2025
56%
By end of June 2025
87%
By end of December 2025
Resolved
NOBy end of December 2024
Resolved
NOBy end of March 2025
Resolved
NOBy end of February 2025
Resolved
NOBy end of September 2024
Resolved
NOBy end of June 2024
Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit
Otherwise, answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached
Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch
Any type of Starlink satellite counts as long as Starlink is in the name (eg Starshield would not count despite being a close derivative)
UTC is used
Related markets:
/Nat/when-will-starship-first-deploy-a-c
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
When will Starship successfully land for the first time?
12/4/25
When will Starship complete an orbit?
When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time?
3/15/26
When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit?
Will the first operational satellite launched by Starship be a Starlink satellite?
91% chance
By when will first Starship be reused?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
77% chance
When will Starship reach orbit?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?