When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
30
แน1kแน5.7k2030
1%
Before 2027
20%
Before 2028
52%
Before 2029
70%
Before 2030
Resolved
NOBefore 2025
Resolved
NOBefore 2026
The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface). It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Similar question about launch and landing:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or
My other questions about Starship milestones:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-4th-starship-launch-h
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-5-happen
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-starship-reach-orb
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-wit
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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