When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
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Plus
22
Ṁ2460
2030
1.6%
Before 2025
5%
Before 2026
25%
Before 2027
45%
Before 2028
70%
Before 2029
87%
Before 2030

The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface). It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.

I do not bet on my own questions.

Similar question about launch and landing:

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or

My other questions about Starship milestones:

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-4th-starship-launch-h

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-5-happen

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-starship-reach-orb

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-wit

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-attempt-pr

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-dock-to-a

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Is HLS considered as Starship?

@JoshuaWilkes Sure hope so! Unless we're talking about Blue's HLS.

@JoshuaWilkes Yes, of course

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