When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
Standard
17
Ṁ15312030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
Before 2025
4%
Before 2026
23%
Before 2027
47%
Before 2028
84%
Before 2029
87%
Before 2030
The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface). It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Similar question about launch and landing:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or
My other questions about Starship milestones:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-4th-starship-launch-h
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-5-happen
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-starship-reach-orb
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-wit
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