When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
Standard
17
Ṁ15312030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
Before 2025
4%
Before 2026
23%
Before 2027
47%
Before 2028
84%
Before 2029
87%
Before 2030
The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface). It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Similar question about launch and landing:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or
My other questions about Starship milestones:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-4th-starship-launch-h
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-5-happen
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-starship-reach-orb
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-wit
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
When will Starship flight 5 happen?
When will Starship flight 6 happen?
When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
When will Starship complete an orbit?
When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?
When will Starship first deploy a commercial satellite to orbit?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Will Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?