When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
28
157
Ṁ2.9KṀ1.3K
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
In 2024
4%
In 2025 or earlier
8%
In 2026 or earlier
15%
In 2027 or earlier
30%
In 2028 or earlier
43%
In 2029 or earlier
56%
In 2030 or earlier
The market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX Starship spacecraft launches from or lands on the Earth with human astronauts on board. At least one passenger has to survive the maneuver.
I do not bet on my own markets.
Similar question about humans on board at any time in the flight:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-fly-in-space-wit
Related questions:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-starship-reach-orb
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-4th-starship-launch-h
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-5-happen
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
When will Starship flight 5 happen?
When will the 4th Starship launch happen?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
When will Starship first deploy a commercial satellite to orbit?
When will SpaceX land humans on Mars?
2039
When will Starship first dock to a non-Starship spacecraft?
By when will first Starship be reused?