Will the Supreme Court hear L.W. v. Skrmetti? (Likely constitutionality of bans on gender-affirming care for minors)
1
61
Ṁ10Ṁ70
2025
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve YES if the Supreme Court grants certiorari in the case L.W. v. Skrmetti. This question will resolve NO if certiorari is denied. If the case is merged with a similar case and heard, it will also resolve YES.
In the case, the Court is being asked to reverse the Sixth Circuit's decision to deny a preliminary injection against Tennessee's law banning gender-affirming care for minors. The case would involve deciding whether the law likely violates the Due Process and Equal Protection Clauses.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will the US Supreme Court strike down Tennessee's Youth Transition Related Care Ban? [See Description]
17% chance
Will Ohio be temporally enjoined from enforcing their gender-affirming care ban for minors?
47% chance
Will Ohio's gender-affirming care ban for minors be in effect by the end of the year?
50% chance
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026?
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2030?
Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?
34% chance
Will any US state pass legislation banning any form of commonly-used gender-affirming medical care for adults before 2030?
81% chance
By the end of 2028, will more than 50% of US trans youth live in states where best-practice medical care is banned?
32% chance