Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
23
1kṀ1421
2028
72%
chance

This resolves Yes in the event that SCOTUS strikes down the circuit court’s ruling. It resolves No if the supremes uphold or remand the case. It could resolve to a percent if there is a peculiar partial agreement that carves out some constitutional protections but not others. This market can resolve based on the above case’s lineage, or any very similar case with the same implications.

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