By the end of 2028, will more than 50% of US trans youth live in states where best-practice medical care is banned?
11
176
Ṁ333Ṁ270
2029
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently 28% of transgender youth live in states where best-practice medical care for transgender youth is banned, as reported by LGBT MAP: https://www.lgbtmap.org/equality-maps/healthcare_youth_medical_care_bans
If the above source stops reporting data at resolution time, data from Human Rights Campaign (https://www.hrc.org/resources/attacks-on-gender-affirming-care-by-state-map) will be used, or other similarly credible source.
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will medical care for transgender minors reach the US supreme court before 2025
83% chance
Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?
19% chance
Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?
18% chance
Will SB49 (Restricts gender-affirming care for minors among other things) be in effect in Missouri in 2025?
63% chance
Will any US state enact a universal healthcare system before 2030?
31% chance
Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years?
16% chance
Will US congress pass a law that prohibits the states from prohibiting abortion before 2050?
59% chance
Will fewer than 26 states be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2030?
67% chance
Will fewer than 26 states be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2026?
37% chance
Will fewer than 20 states be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2040?
55% chance