Will the US Supreme Court strike down Tennessee's Youth Transition Related Care Ban? [See Description]
Will the US Supreme Court strike down Tennessee's Youth Transition Related Care Ban? [See Description]
14
1kṀ1502Jan 1
9%
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Trans youth and their parents are bringing a suit to the Supreme Court challenging Tennessee's SB1 which bans trans minors from accessing puberty blockers, hormone therapy, and surgery. This market resolves YES if the Supreme Court decides that Tennesee's SB1 is unconstitutional and ends the ban on puberty blockers, hormone therapy, and surgery for minors.
This market resolves NO if the Supreme Court decides not to hear the case. The market also resolves NO if the Supreme Court decides to uphold the ban. If the Supreme Court decides not to hear this challenge, but does hear a separate challenge, this resolves NO.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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