Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in response to the Wagner Group Coup?
16
77
450
resolved Aug 1
Resolved
NO

Any detonation by Russia in the next few months will count, whether on Russian or Ukrainian territory. Demonstrative detonation will also count.

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Changing resolution date to August, given how quickly the thing fizzled

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Really uncertain here, feels like entropy is just being poured into the conflict

And yes, Russia using nuclear weapons against any Ukraine opportunism would also count.