Czech politian Martin Dvořák claims that the coup of Prigozhin was staged in order to have plausible reason to move the Wagner group to Belarus, as further threatening Ukraine.

CNN Prima News: "I called it 'commedia finita' - it was a very well-prepared scenario of how they got to Moscow without firing a shot, right down to the alleged phone call," Dvořák said. According to him, we can only speculate as to what direction the game should take. "But I feel a chill that the whole result of the operation will be that 25,000 mercenaries will be moved to Belarus and thus closer to Kiev. Whatever we may think, Prigozhin's behaviour is inexplicable," Dvořák said.

The question resolves YES if the Wagner group is part of an attack on Ukraine from Belarus before 1.1.2025, regardless of what happens to Prigozhin.