
Will Russia detonate a nuclear bomb in Ukraine by 2024?
28
closes 2024
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ198 +1881.5%
New probability
5%
YES = Russia WILL detonate a nuclear bomb in Ukraine by 2024 (includes accidental/unauthorized detonations)
NO = Russia will NOT detonate a nuclear bomb in Ukraine by 2024 (includes accidental/unauthorized detonations)
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Nikolapredicts NO
Kongo Landwalkerbought Ṁ13 of YES
It closes in 2025, so I interpret the question "by the end of 2024".
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