
This bet will resolve as 'yes' if Ukrainian private military companies (PMCs) will start being deployed in large operations in the war before the end of 2025:
The operations must include ground combat roles for a PMC unit of at least 500 armed contractors fighting against Russian invasion forces.
The PMC unit must be composed of contractors working for an entity that meets the definition of a private military company: A private company providing organized armed security, combat or military training services for profit.
There must be photographic or video evidence clearly verifying the identity of the PMC and the scale of their deployment as part of the operation.
Alternatively, their participation could be officially acknowledged by either the Ukrainian government or military command or consensus of reputable observers of Ukrainian-Russian war.
The operations may be undertaken independently by the PMC or in conjunction with Ukrainian military forces.