Will any foreign military trainers in Ukraine be killed by Russian attacks?
Basic
31
3.1k
2025
81%
chance

Resolves NO at the start of the first permenant cease fire.

Resolves YES with credible reporting in mainstream media.

I will keep extending this market until either the YES or NO condition is met.

Context:

https://www.france24.com/en/france/20240604-french-military-instructors-in-ukraine-would-be-legitimate-target-russia-says

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This is "made public before January 1st 2025?", right?

@RemNi

No, I'll keep extending it to the first permanent ceasefire

@GCS ah gotcha, sorry misread that

@GCS Maybe make that a little more explicit in the description

@RemNi fixed, thanks

I am surprised at both the confidence and direction. Especially compared to this related market.

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