[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
Basic
8
Ṁ2802027
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, credible media sources report that combat troops from a NATO country are physically and openly present in Ukraine (under its internationally recognized borders at the time such reports are made) in significant numbers.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly in 2024?
32% chance
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?
38% chance
Which NATO countries will officially send soldiers to fight in Ukraine before the end of 2025?
Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?
38% chance
Will a soldier from a NATO country be confirmed killed in action inside Ukraine during 2024?
23% chance
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
31% chance
[Metaculus] Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?
54% chance
Will any NATO nation (including France) send troops to Ukraine in 2024?
19% chance
Will regular NATO member-state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024
11% chance
When will the first NATO troops be on the ground in Ukraine?