[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
Basic
8
Ṁ280
2027
16%
chance

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, credible media sources report that combat troops from a NATO country are physically and openly present in Ukraine (under its internationally recognized borders at the time such reports are made) in significant numbers.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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