What will happen during the first New Glenn launch?
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Plus
5
Ṁ664
2026
84%
Fairing separation
80%
Main engine cut off
70%
Stage separation
69%
Second stage engine start
67%
Second stage reaches orbit
67%
Second stage engine cut off
66%
Payload deploy
65%
Scrub/delay 1 hour before launch

The market will resolve upon confirmation of each answer by Blue Origin (either through social media, press release, or official livestream). For it to count as the "first launch," New Glenn must liftoff from the pad.

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bought Ṁ10 Second stage reaches... NO

When referring to the 'engine cutoff' milestones, those are at the planned times, correct? I assume a engine failure or premature shutdown would result in No.

What if 1 or more engines is shutdown, will that resolve to No?

@LarsOsborne Each milestone will be resolved based on confirmation (or lack thereof) from Blue Origin.

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