
[ACX 2024] Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024?
49
178
Ṁ2.3KṀ950
2025
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ1
Ṁ10
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ20 +108.5%
New probability
48%
Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2024, the New Glenn launch vehicle reaches an altitude of 100 kilometers intact.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
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