When will New Glenn launch for the first time?
29
485Ṁ14kresolved Jan 25
100%99.0%
January 2025
0.1%
Before August 2024
0.2%
August 2024
0.0%
September 2024
0.0%
October 2024
0.1%
November 2024
0.1%
December 2024
0.0%
February 2025
0.0%
March 2025
0.4%Other
Launch = the rocket visibly moves or explodes after engine start
I will add (some) 2025 options if Blue Glenn doesn't launch in August. Other will serve for now.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ554 | |
| 2 | Ṁ47 | |
| 3 | Ṁ47 | |
| 4 | Ṁ30 | |
| 5 | Ṁ24 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will New Glenn 3 fly on a reused first stage?
21% chance
When will New Glenn 9x4 reach orbit for the first time?
How many times will New Glenn launch in 2026?
5.0
By when will New Glenn flight 3 launch?
By when will New Glenn first launch with 9 engines?
Will New Glenn launch more than Falcon 9 in 2030?
37% chance
# of New Glenn launches in 2030 calendar year
When will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
72% chance
By when will Starliner-1 launch?