
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket achieve orbit on its first launch?
67
1kṀ31kresolved Jan 25
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For it to count as a launch the rocket needs to complete the countdown sequence and the holdown clamps need to release. A scrub won't count as a launch. Achieve orbit means pushing the payload to orbital velocity.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ1,147 | |
2 | Ṁ850 | |
3 | Ṁ843 | |
4 | Ṁ731 | |
5 | Ṁ571 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
66% chance
Will New Glenn launch a commercial payload before Starship?
91% chance
By when will New Glenn flight 2 launch?
How many times will New Glenn launch in 2025?
Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
67% chance
Will Gilmour Space's Eris rocket reach space on the first attempt?
41% chance
Will the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
34% chance
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
What will be the name of the third Blue Origin rocket?
Will a rocket built by Relativity Space ever achieve orbit?
82% chance