Will New Glenn be successfully recovered on its first recovery attempt?
45
1kṀ14k
resolved Jan 16
Resolved
NO

To be successful, New Glenn's first stage must land on a barge or on land and remain upright. If New Glenn flies without recovery, or has a controlled splashdown in the Ocean, this question will defer until a barge or land recovery is attempted. The market will resolve upon confirmation of the above criteria by Blue Origin (either through social media, press release, or official livestream).

  • Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Recovery Attempt:

    • If the rocket fails before stage separation, it still counts as a recovery attempt.

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