
When will Blue Origin launch their New Glenn rocket? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
12
Ṁ260Ṁ2.5kresolved Jan 1
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
Not in 2024
0.1%
Q1 2024
0.3%
Q2 2024
0.5%
2nd Half 2024
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ152 | |
| 2 | Ṁ67 | |
| 3 | Ṁ65 | |
| 4 | Ṁ40 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Related questions
How many times will New Glenn launch successfully in 2026?
0.2
By when will New Glenn next launch?
When will Blue Origin reach orbit?
2025
Will New Glenn fly again in 2026?
8% chance
When will New Glenn 9x4 reach orbit for the first time?
Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
83% chance
Will the next New Glenn mission be a success?
84% chance
Will New Glenn launch more than Falcon 9 in 2030?
43% chance
# of New Glenn launches in 2030 calendar year
What will be the name of the third Blue Origin rocket?