Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
72
1kṀ17k2027
72%
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Based on this article:
https://www.theregister.com/AMP/2023/11/23/blue_origin_glenn_rocket_mars/
For this market I’m defining “Reaching Mars” as being captured into an orbit around Mars.
The orbit has to be stable
OR if it’s unstable it has to be descending towards the Martian surface
If it’s unstable and gets slingshot out into interplanetary space then it will not count.
I’ll indefinitely push market close out until this resolves Yes or No.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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