What four markets will I subsidize with at least 1000 Mana?
18
1.6kṀ1398resolved Oct 3
25%25%
When will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end?
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25%21%
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https://manifold.markets/BenjaminShindel/will-autonomous-driving-rideshares?r=QmVuamFtaW5TaGluZGVs
0.2%
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0.7%
"When will US deaths from fentanyl decline?"
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0.4%
Some public image generation system can create an ordered circle of random numbers by end 2024 https://manifold.markets/StrayClimb/some-public-image-generation-system-b85861e7ede8
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0.2%
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0.4%
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0.8%
"When will the global monthly mean CO2 level reach 450 ppm?" https://manifold.markets/evergreenemily/when-will-the-global-monthly-mean-c
0.2%
"How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will Democrats win in 2024?" https://manifold.markets/evergreenemily/how-many-seats-in-the-us-house-of-r-b25a69aa3d79
0.9%
When will FED pivot (lower interest rates)? https://manifold.markets/DanMan314/when-will-fed-pivot-lower-interest
0.8%
"Will a system similar to Brilliant Pebbles be known to exist in any country by 2040?" https://manifold.markets/SemioticRivalry/will-a-system-similar-to-brilliant
Geopolitically important and genuinely uncertain, and it'd be public info
1.4%
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3%Other
TL;DR: Austin has tasked me and several others with each putting 50,000 mana into market subsidization this month.
Please submit answers in the form of a link to a market and the market title, ideally with a comment about why you think the market should be subsidized.
I'll be looking for candidate markets myself and submitting them as options here. Once I've given a subsidy of at least 1000 mana each to four markets that were not created by me, this market will resolve to those four markets equally at 25% each.
I will trade in this market only to buy no on submissions that I am ruling out. I will announce in the comments here when I have decided to subsidize a market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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