Will a system similar to Brilliant Pebbles be publicly known to exist in any country by 2040?
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Brilliant Pebbles was a system intended to keep thousands of missiles in orbit over the Soviet Union ready to destroy ICBMs as they launch.
I'm skeptical of this article, but it claims that this could be done fairly cheaply today.
https://sergey.substack.com/p/marbles
Of course, a system like Brilliant Pebbles is most useful when it is publicly known. So will any country be publicly known to have a system similar to Brilliant Pebbles by 2040? Due to the somewhat subjective nature of this question, I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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