FiveThirtyEight’s Biden approval rating on October 31?
74
Ṁ12k
resolved Nov 1
100%85%
40.0% to 40.9%
1.5%
Less than 39%
12%
39.0% to 39.9%
1.1%
41.0% to 41.9%
0.4%
42.0% to 42.9%
0.1%
At least 43%

This resolves as per the FiveThirtyEight weighted average of approval polls for President Biden at 23:59 Eastern Time. I will look at the large number displayed here, rounded to the nearest thousandth:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

(Question borrowed from RANGE)

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Exciting finish, looking forward to the next one

@ScottSupak Thanks everyone for participating, here is next month's market:

@ScottSupak For the record though since it looks like this will come down to the wire: The 538 approval numbers get updated throughout the day and sometimes retroactively. For the purpose of this question, I have a script that will save a copy of the website at midnight.