FiveThirtyEight’s Biden approval rating on October 31?
Plus
74
Ṁ12kresolved Nov 1
100%85%
40.0% to 40.9%
1.5%
Less than 39%
12%
39.0% to 39.9%
1.1%
41.0% to 41.9%
0.4%
42.0% to 42.9%
0.1%
At least 43%
This resolves as per the FiveThirtyEight weighted average of approval polls for President Biden at 23:59 Eastern Time. I will look at the large number displayed here, rounded to the nearest thousandth:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
(Question borrowed from RANGE)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ScottSupak For the record though since it looks like this will come down to the wire: The 538 approval numbers get updated throughout the day and sometimes retroactively. For the purpose of this question, I have a script that will save a copy of the website at midnight.