[Polymarket] Will Israel invade Lebanon before May?
13
57
Ṁ1.7kṀ320
resolved May 6
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is a direct copy of a market from Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-lebanon-before-may?tid=1710872477556). The resolution of this market will mirror the resolution of the original market.
The description of the original market:
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used."
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ108 | |
2 | Ṁ36 | |
3 | Ṁ20 | |
4 | Ṁ20 | |
5 | Ṁ9 |
Related questions
Will Hezbollah directly engage in combat operations against Israel?
49% chance
[Metaculus] Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?
5% chance
Will Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah go to war in 2024?
47% chance
If a full war between Lebanon and Israel happens, will it be an Israeli invasion?
78% chance
Will Israel invade Rafah in before July 2024?
89% chance
Will Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah go to war before 2025?
46% chance
Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
42% chance