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MANIFOLD
Will Israel invade Rafah in before July 2024?
10
Ṁ100Ṁ382
resolved May 17
Resolved
YES

Resolved as yes if the IDF spokesman declares the IDF has entered the city of Rafah in Gaza.

Surgical raids of limited scope will not count. Only large scale clearing operation.

Market context
Wars
Israel
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Gaza
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IDF Spox announced that the 162 brigade is now operating in eastern Rafah. However, to the best of my judgment this activity is of limited scope, and not large scale clearing as defined in the resolution criteria.

This... is an imitation/copy of another very active market

@JamesBakerc884 It might be similar, but Lemming's been making this same question since before Panfilo ever made any variant of it.

Yap. Panfilo copied me, not the other way around.

@Lemming Ohhhh huh, okay.

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