Will Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah go to war before 2025?
15
101
Ṁ861Ṁ270
2025
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by this market.
If Israel declares war on Hezbollah and not Lebanon, this market still resolves YES.
IE. If Israel declares war on Hezbollah, it still counts as war against Lebanon. Considering Hezbollah is almost the de facto military and one of the most prominent political parties in Lebanon.
Resolution will happen if either side declares war or performs wartime military action.
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