Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as 'Yes' if, on May 31, 2024, any of the nations Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon is engaged in a state of war with Israel, characterized by any of the following being true:

• Official statements by any of the involved nation's government or military acknowledging a state of war.

• Official statements by the governments of at least two permanent members of the UN Security Council that acknowledge a state of war.

The primary source for resolution will be the official statements or press releases from the respective governments. If no official or credible report of a state of war is found by June 1, 2024, the question will resolve as 'No'.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.