
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
67
12kṀ83k2026
1.8%
8
28%
9
63%
10
88%
12
Resolved
NO6
Resolved
NO7
Both must be on solid ground or a landing ship, mostly intact, and stationary, on the same flight. Starship must have flown to over 100 km on that flight.
For details, this question will use the same criteria as these:
/chrisjbillington/will-spacex-land-a-spaceflown-stars
/chrisjbillington/will-spacex-land-a-super-heavy-boos
/EvanDaniel/which-happens-first-starship-superh
Answers are for "on or before flight number X", so if they succeed on flight 11, then answers 11, 12, 13, etc. all resolve Yes, regardless of the outcome of flight 12.
I'll add more answers as future flights approach, as indicated by prices on existing answers.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Which happens first: Starship / Superheavy recovery or second crewed Starliner flight?
Which Starship booster will be the first to be reflown?
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Will SpaceX launch a reused Super Heavy rocket booster successfully by the end of 2025?
63% chance
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Will SpaceX successfully catch a Starship in 2025?
87% chance
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
Will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy Booster in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
53% chance
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
80% chance