When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs?
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10
Ṁ5922035
2%
2026 or earlier
18%
2027 or earlier
28%
2028 or earlier
40%
2029 or earlier
63%
2032 or earlier
73%
2035 or earlier
Resolves YES once an individual Starship Super Heavy booster launches as part of a full stack launch, lands/is caught, and then launches again within 24hrs of that landing
The launches aren't required to be successful
Starship Super Heavy booster does not need to be its exact name but it must be the first stage of a vehicle referred to in some sense as Starship and must have extensive shared heritage with the current SpaceX vehicle
UTC is used for dates
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