![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FOlegEterevsky%2Fz2t41jzbwy.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
Basic
6
Ṁ1.3k2026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
6%
Before 2024-10-01
11%
Before 2025-01-01
35%
Before 2025-04-01
46%
Before 2025-07-01
53%
Before 2025-10-01
66%
Before 2026-01-01
The market will resolve as soon as SpaceX manages to launch a Starship rocket, successfully lands it, and launches it for the second time. The second launch doesn't have to be fully successful, the market will resolve positively as long as the rocket leaves the pad.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Related questions:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land-o1e8o780ic
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
When will SpaceX successfully land Superheavy (Starship 1st stage) for the first time?
When will SpaceX first reuse Superheavy (Starship 1st stage)?
By when will first Starship be reused?
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
Non-SpaceX reusable first stage by 2025?
35% chance
Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first five Starship flights?
30% chance
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?