When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
33
Ṁ4.9kṀ20k2028
1%
Before 2026-10-01
11%
Before 2027-01-01
29%
Before 2027-04-01
39%
Before 2027-07-01
47%
Before 2027-10-01
60%
Before 2028-01-01
77%
Before 2028-04-01
77%
Before 2028-07-01
77%
Before 2028-10-01
82%
Before 2029-01-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2024-10-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-01-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-04-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-07-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-08-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-09-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-10-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2026-01-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2026-04-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2026-07-01
The market will resolve as soon as SpaceX manages to launch a Starship rocket, successfully lands it, and launches it for the second time. The second launch doesn't have to be fully successful, the market will resolve positively as long as the rocket leaves the pad.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Related questions:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-successfully-land-o1e8o780ic
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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