Will AI get BOTH gold and either bronze or silver on the IMO by end of 2025?

Question

This market resolves based off the outcomes of two other markets:

[markets]If both of these resolve YES, this resolves YES. If either resolve NO, this resolves NO. If either of the linked markets resolves to something other than YES or NO, I will use my best judgement.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 26% chance (19 traders, as of Dec 29, 2025).

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