How many points above the gold cutoff will the best 2026 IMO AI get?
9
225Ṁ622
Jun 1
98.2%
-12 or higher
94%
-9 or higher
93%
-6 or higher
90%
-3 or higher
90%
0 or higher
76%
3 or higher
70%
6 or higher
59%
9 or higher
30%
12 or higher

This question uses the standard rules from Austin's large 2025 IMO market to determine IMO scores of AIs (i.e. must be finalized before the competition starts, must take 4.5hrs for each problem set, etc.)

This question asks for the largest value, among such AIs competing in the 2026 IMO, of (the score of the AI) - (the gold cutoff score).

I intend to close this before the 2026 IMO starts and resolve 30 days after the closing ceremony.

Market context
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OpenAI
IMO Grand Challenge
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