If Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan how will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) respond?

BTE

Oct 2

M$378 bet

Jack answered

Hold military exercises near the Taiwan strait

27%

Jack answered

Fly many military aircraft close to Taiwan

26%

Jack answered

Impose sanctions on Pelosi

17%

Matt P answered

Redeploy additional military resources (missiles, missile defense systems, etc) closer to Taiwan.

16%

Martin Randall answered

Full of sound and fury, signifying nothing

0.5%

Add your answer

Jack answered

17 days ago

Hold military exercises near the Taiwan strait

Jack bought M$1

17 days ago

They already held some around when Pelosi left for the Asia trip: https://www.politico.com/news/2022/07/30/china-announces-military-exercise-opposite-taiwan-00048810. They'll probably do more after Pelosi visits.

Jack bought M$30

16 days ago

https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/02/politics/nancy-pelosi-visit-taipei-taiwan-trip/index.html > China's military said it was on "high alert" and would conduct exercises around Taiwan in response to Pelosi's trip, saying in statements it was launching a series "targeted military operations to counteract the situation."

Jack answered

18 days ago

Fly many military aircraft close to Taiwan

Jack bought M$6

18 days ago

https://manifold.markets/jack/will-the-number-of-chinese-military

Jack is betting

Fly many m... to Taiwan

18 days ago

"Will the number of Chinese military aircraft entering Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) exceed 60 on any single day in August?"

Jack is betting

Fly many m... to Taiwan

17 days ago

Also https://manifold.markets/jack/will-chinese-military-aircraft-ente Will Chinese military aircraft enter Taiwan's territorial airspace in August?

Jack is betting

Hold milit...wan strait

16 days ago

https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/02/politics/nancy-pelosi-visit-taipei-taiwan-trip/index.html > Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense said that 21 Chinese warplanes made incursions into its air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on Tuesday. In response, the Taiwanese military issued radio warnings and deployed air defense missile systems to monitor the activities, it added. > China frequently sends warplanes into Taiwan's self-declared ADIZ. The highest number of incursions ever recorded was on October 4 last year, when 56 military planes flew into the area on the same day. An ADIZ is unilaterally imposed and distinct from sovereign airspace, which is defined under international law as extending 12 nautical miles from a territory's shoreline.

Jack answered

13 days ago

Impose sanctions on Pelosi

Jack bought M$10

13 days ago

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/05/china-sanctions-us-house-speaker-nancy-pelosi-over-trip-to-taiwan.html > China on Friday imposed sanctions on U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her immediate family in response to what the Foreign Ministry described as an “egregious provocation.” > The statement did not include specific details about the nature of the sanctions.

Matt P answered

22 days ago

Redeploy additional military resources (missiles, missile defense systems, etc) closer to Taiwan.

Matt P is betting

Redeploy a...o Taiwan.

22 days ago

(or troops, obviously)

Martin Randall answered

22 days ago

Full of sound and fury, signifying nothing

Gigacasting answered

22 days ago

Make it rain: https://futurism.com/china-rolling-out-enormous-weather-modification-system?amp

Sketch answered

22 days ago

Intercept and divert her flight

Jack is betting

Fly many m... to Taiwan

18 days ago

https://manifold.markets/jack/will-china-attempt-to-intercept-nan Will China attempt to intercept Nancy Pelosi's plane?

BTE answered

22 days ago

Naval blockade of commercial shipping into and out of Taiwan

BTE answered

22 days ago

Implement No-Fly Zone in Taiwanese airspace

Jack is betting

Fly many m... to Taiwan

18 days ago

https://manifold.markets/jack/will-china-declare-a-nofly-zone-ove Will China declare a no-fly zone over Taiwan in August?

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A trader sold M$0 of

Make it ra...system?amp

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Hold milit...wan strait

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Redeploy a...o Taiwan.

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Naval bloc... of Taiwan

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Implement ...e airspace

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Impose san... on Pelosi

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