If China invades Taiwan will they try to cut off the US from Fentanyl? | Manifold

If China invades Taiwan will they try to cut off the US from Fentanyl?

11

1kṀ338

2050

24%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

China supplies Mexico with precursor chemicals for Fentanyl production.

Resolves if within a year of an invasion (before or after), its reported by US government agencies or western mainstream media that China is taking steps to cut off the US from Fentanyl (for example by restricting exports of precursor chemicals)

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What if they engage in some sort of complete embargo, would this resolve positively?

@DavidFWatson yes

bought Ṁ10 NO

Seems like they'd have an incentive to ramp up fentanyl supply to disrupt the US, no?

In the lead up yes, but they could do damage by shutting it off suddenly.

@Daniel_MC how would shutting it off cause any damage? Economic effects of withdrawal on millions of addicts seems vastly outweighed by reduced policing costs

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When will China invade Taiwan

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If China invades Taiwan, will a nuclear war start?

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