Will China invade Taiwan during the term of the next POTUS?
29
100Ṁ1716
2028
65%
Trump wins, Xi will NOT invade Taiwan
35%
Trump wins, Xi Will invade Taiwan
0.1%
Harris wins, Xi will NOT invade Taiwan
0.3%
Harris wins, Xi Will invade Taiwan

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Geopolitics
2024 US Presidential Election
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bought Ṁ264 NO

@WieDan "Harris wins" options resolve NO

bought Ṁ100 YES

@puffymist I can't do that unfortunately.

bought Ṁ20 NO

How does this resolve if:

  1. The term of the next POTUS ends before the invasion?

  2. The invasion is carried out by a different leader than Xi?

I should have ritten China instead of Xi I will change te title.
As for president ending term early (so death?) I think an invasion after should not count.

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