Will China invade Taiwan x Will the CCP lose power?
4
200Ṁ155
2040
4%
China invades Taiwan, CCP loses power
32%
China invades Taiwan, CCP doesn't lose power
5%
China doesn't invade Taiwan, CCP loses power
59%
China doesn't invade Taiwan, CCP doesn't lose power

Serious invasion attempts also count. Resolves in 2040.

I don't trade in my own markets.

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