Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
57
1kṀ16k2029
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will china invade taiwan before 14 Jan 2026?
1% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
34% chance
If China invades Taiwan while Donald Trump is president, will the U.S. go to war with China?
51% chance
Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
36% chance
When will China invade Taiwan
Will China invade Taiwan by year's end?
12% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan during the leadership of the person in power after Xi Jinping?
31% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan while Xi Jinping is in power?
40% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
58% chance
Will Donald Trump win 2024? x Will China Invade Taiwan before 2030?