Using the individual state markets at https://manifold.markets/politics
Using the odds for each state at 11:59 PM PST on November 4, 2024.
Resolves to the exact number of states in which the Manifold favorite in each state received a plurality of the popular vote in the Presidential Election.
DM or comment with questions
Thank you for participating!
Final Manifold map! ME-1 and NE-2 are democratic, while NE-1, NE-3 and ME-2 are republican. PA is democratic and NV is republican if that was unclear. Election day is today (EST)!
@traders
Limit orders on YES placed at 49 and 50, if you're interested @Daniel_MC.
By the way @vibhav I really like this market. Would you mind if I create a numeric version of it (of course you can too)? Think that it would be cool but don't want to steal your idea!