How Many States Will Manifold Correctly Predict During the 2024 Presidential Election?
How Many States Will Manifold Correctly Predict During the 2024 Presidential Election?
32
1kṀ6763resolved Nov 12
100%98.5%
47
0.3%
45 or less
0.2%
46
0.4%
48
0.3%
49
0.2%
50
Using the individual state markets at https://manifold.markets/politics
Using the odds for each state at 11:59 PM PST on November 4, 2024.
Resolves to the exact number of states in which the Manifold favorite in each state received a plurality of the popular vote in the Presidential Election.
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