Sometime between January 10, 2029 and January 31, 2029, in whatever timezone I'm in at the time, I will create a poll that ends seven days afterwards that asks the following question:
Was the 2028 United States presidential election free and fair?
with the answers:
Yes
No
See results
and the description:
Even if your answer is too nuanced for a full yes or no, you are encouraged to select the option that is closest to your opinion.
If (YES votes) / (YES votes + NO votes) ≥ 0.75, this market will resolve YES. Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.
If I become inactive/get banned/etc., I encourage a mod to make this poll so that this market can be resolved.
For reference, 12 respondents unanimously agreed that the 2024 election was free and fair.
1,000Hopefully the current administration will successfully push for increased security measures (single day voting, ID, paper ballots only, timely vote counting in all states).
These may or may not increase the actual integrity of the election. But they will do wonders in terms of perception of integrity which is just us important.