Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?
Plus
14
Ṁ52792029
85%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
Sometime between January 10, 2029 and January 31, 2029, in whatever timezone I'm in at the time, I will create a poll that ends seven days afterwards that asks the following question:
Was the 2028 United States presidential election free and fair?
with the answers:
Yes
No
See results
and the description:
Even if your answer is too nuanced for a full yes or no, you are encouraged to select the option that is closest to your opinion.
If (YES votes) / (YES votes + NO votes) ≥ 0.75, this market will resolve YES. Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.
If I become inactive/get banned/etc., I encourage a mod to make this poll so that this market can be resolved.
For reference, 12 respondents unanimously agreed that the 2024 election was free and fair.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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