Will Iran launch an air, missile, or drone strike on any part of Israel or Palestine before the end of 2024?
Basic
39
Ṁ8079
resolved Apr 13
Resolved
YES

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

pretty embarrassing failure of us here

reposted

breaking news bump

@strutheo what if it's drones, not missiles? or is the goal of this market only for missiles?

@mint do we know what drone it would likely be? if it is like a drone missle/rocket sure

@strutheo A loitering munition drone, the type of drone that flies and drives into targets and explodes. Like this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HESA_Shahed_136

@mint i think i'd count it, yes.

I created this market for those wanting to trade on a response executed by a proxy, not Iran

Assume by palestine you meant any disputed territory, correct? Eg, Golan Heights, which the international community views as occupied Syrian territory.

@gpt_news_headlines yes ill count that too

Would some embassy in eg Bahrain count?

@ICRainbow no i wont count embassies as territory

Just to clarify, how would an intercepted missile resolve?

@ChadCotty I would have to think that would not count.

@ChadCotty if information can still be confirmed about it and proves iran launched the missle strike i will count it

Must the missile have been launched from Iran proper? And not from Iranian proxies in Lebanon (Hezbollah)?

@mattyb yes it must be iran or iran state forces stationed in another region (and able to be confirmed!)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules