A nuclear site is any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil.
Such a strike must be widely assumed to be perpetrated by Israel and must cause clear physical damage as a direct goal of the attack. It must take place after the creation of this market and before 01/01/2026. Will resolve according to time the attack took place, not time of reporting.
If there is ambiguity I will use my personal best judgement. I will not bet on this market.
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Damage to Natanz nuclear facility confirmed via satellite imagery. https://x.com/thegoodisis/status/1933539314148823467
@DanielFox9fff can this be resolved?
An Israeli military official, who briefed reporters on condition of anonymity to comply with protocol, said the strikes in Tehran were aimed at targets related to Iran’s nuclear program and the Iranian regime’s long-range missile capabilities. The official added that Israel was conducting dozens of strikes in multiple areas of Iran.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06/12/world/israel-iran-us-nuclear?smid=nytcore-android-share
@FergusArgyll I'm seeing reports that they were on the personal residences of Iranian scientists, not the nuclear facilities themselves, but yeah, well have to wait and find out
The Israeli Air Force conducted a strike in Iran on Thursday, according to two sources with knowledge of the operation. It's not yet clear what Israel is targeting, but explosions were reported in Tehran.
Behind the scenes: The U.S. notified several of its allies in private on Thursday that Israeli strikes were imminent and made clear it was not involved, one of the sources said.
The intrigue: Before the operation became public, U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee tweeted that he was at the embassy in Jerusalem and "will remain here all night," adding: "Pray for the peace of Jerusalem."
https://www.axios.com/2025/06/13/israel-strike-iran-trump-nuclear-talks