https://www.axios.com/2024/10/31/israel-iran-planning-attack-iraq
Supposedly Iran will use Iraq in the next round of tit for tat strikes Israel and Iran have been exchanging. Will Iran in fact launch part of an attack on Israel from Iraq?
1,000
3.00How Iranian does it have to be?
@BrunoParga very good question!
How about this?: Let's see how media reports it. If the majority of the media report it as something like "major attack by IRI" it won't count. If it's framed as "Iran uses proxy IRI to launch major attack from Iraq" it counts. If it's widely mixed how major outlets report it, I'll resolve 50%. However, if it is confirmed that there are Iranian military forces actively attacking from Iraq I'll resolve YES regardless what media call it (it should be highly likely that they call it an Iranian attack in that case anyways). I'll also abstain from participating in the market due to this potential subjectiveness.
Does that sound fair?