Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
Basic
131
Ṁ22kJan 1
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolving criteria:
1) formal war is declared (yes)
2) informal war is declared, which is commonly accepted as a war (Ukraine invasion, operation ensuing freedom, etc) (yes) - the current Israel intervention in Gaza is considered a war; the current relationship between Israel and Hezbollah is not considered a war.
3) 2024 ends (no)
Non resolving criteria
1) threats of war
2) minor bombing/ rocket attacks/ cyberwarfare (stuxnet would not resolve)
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Sort by:
When it is
A) formally declared
B) generally recognized as war (i.e. Russia and Ukraine, or Operation ensuing freedom)
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